Silver explained how turnout could determine whether the general election for New York City mayor is competitive.

A vote count under New York City's ranked-choice voting system extended Mamdani's lead to 12%, five points higher than his lead in first-choice votes.

Nate Silver. The latest news and update on Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver is an American statistician, writer and poker player known for analyzing elections, baseball and basketball.

Pollster Nate Silver claimed that New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani could be vulnerable in the general election ...