One of college football’s best in-state rivalry games kick off this weekend as Michigan plays host to Michigan State on Saturday. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from an expert football model that projects scores and picks winners.

Ball State’s offense will likely struggle to gain traction, as well. The Cardinals rank 104th in early down offensive EPA per Play, while the RedHawks rank 26th defensively. Miami ranks 27th in defensive yards per play and has held its last three conference opponents to an average of 3.7 yards per play.