A yield curve refers to how short-term and long-term interest rates compare to one another and how they look when plotted on a chart. Generally, the investment instruments involved in an inverted ...

The U.S. yield curve has now been inverted — meaning that 10-year Treasuries yield less than their two-year counterparts — for a record 628 days. Why it matters: As a recession predictor ...

Treasury yield rose to 4.49% on Friday, back where it had been on February 20. It has snapped back by 50 bps from the recent ...

To cut to the chase, the Fed now has its thumbs on both ends of ... More recently, the yield curve inverted 18 months before ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

In fact, it can be several months – or even a little more than a year – before a recession arrives behind an inverted yield curve. Some pundits are even arguing now that an inverted yield ...

The 2-10-year segment of the U.S. Treasury curve has been inverted for 482 business days, they said. The inversion reflects persistent delays to expectations of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

The rest of this article will analyze the potential impact of an inverted ... besides the yield curve jitter and mortgage delinquencies. For instance, the following chart displays the delinquency ...

Treasury yields determine how much you earn on government-backed securities. Learn more about Treasury yields in this guide.

When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains why an inverted yield curve can be so reliable in predicting recession and why market watchers are talking about it now. Illustration: Ryan Trefes Dion Rabouin breaks ...